Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Rogers

matchup for Matt Festa

80th out of 436 (Best 19%)

Matt Festa

matchup for Jake Rogers

384th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Moderate advantage for Festa

Jake Rogers has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 2.1% lower than Rogers's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Festa.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.4%	22.0%	3.4%	5.3%	13.3%	6.4%	34.2%
Rogers	-2.1	+0.7	0.0	+0.3	+0.4	-2.8	+3.1
Festa	-2.4	-1.3	+0.6	-0.4	-1.4	-1.1	+9.0

Jake Rogers is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rogers has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. Jake Rogers has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

47%

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

8% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jake Rogers has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

31% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Jake Rogers has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 31%

+18%

Breaking (R) 49%

+18%

Large Break 20%

+16%

Small Drop 25%

+13%

18.0% of Jake Rogers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.7% +2.6% 5%

Walk -1.3% +3.5% 41%

In Play -4.3% -6.1% 39%

On Base -5.7% +0.8% 31%

Hit -4.4% -2.7% 14%

Single -3.4% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% -1.0% 3%

Home Run +1.7% -0.2%

29.2% of Jake Rogers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Matt Festa induces Standard Grounders at a 28.3% rate, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.2% -6.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -5.8% +4.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.6% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.7% -1.2% 3%

Pop up +2.0% +2.1%

22.7% of Jake Rogers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% 0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.8% +6.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.4% -1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% -4.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% -0.7%

15.9% of Jake Rogers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. 12.9% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.6% -5.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.3% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° -0.4% +1.9% 18%

7 to 18° -1.4% -6.2% 15%

19 to 28° +0.7% +3.5% 11%

29 to 38° +4.5% +1.5% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% +0.8% 8%

Above 50° +3.5% +2.8%

Jake Rogers has 1 plate appearance against Matt Festa in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.002

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-14	Flyout				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe