Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Rogers

matchup for Ranger Suarez

140th out of 436 (Best 33%)

Ranger Suarez

matchup for Jake Rogers

219th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Moderate advantage for Rogers

Jake Rogers has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 2.2% higher than Rogers's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Suarez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.7%	23.5%	3.2%	4.8%	15.4%	9.2%	30.5%
Rogers	+2.2	+2.1	-0.2	-0.2	+2.5	+0.1	-0.6
Suarez	-1.3	-1.3	+0.8	-0.8	-1.2	-0.1	+6.1

Jake Rogers is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Rogers has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Jake Rogers hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

33%

4-Seam (L)

21%

Changeup (L)

20%

Curve (L)

12%

Cutter (L)

13% of Ranger Suarez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jake Rogers has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-3%

33% of Ranger Suarez's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Jake Rogers has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 33%

+20%

Extreme Break 34%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 31%

+15%

18.0% of Jake Rogers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.7% +0.1% 5%

Walk -1.3% -1.2% 41%

In Play -4.3% +1.1% 39%

On Base -5.7% +1.9% 31%

Hit -4.4% +3.1% 14%

Single -3.4% +1.8% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% +2.2% 3%

Home Run +1.7% -0.9%

29.2% of Jake Rogers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez induces Standard Grounders at a 45.7% rate, which is 11.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.1% +1.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.2% +11.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% +1.7% 14%

Low Screamer -5.8% -2.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.6% -2.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.7% -6.2% 3%

Pop up +2.0% -1.1%

22.7% of Jake Rogers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 21.4% of batted balls allowed by Ranger Suarez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% +3.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.8% +2.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.4% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% -2.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% -2.9%

15.9% of Jake Rogers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. 7.9% of batted balls allowed by Ranger Suarez are hit at this angle, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.6% +9.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.3% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -0.4% +1.7% 18%

7 to 18° -1.4% -1.5% 15%

19 to 28° +0.7% -2.1% 11%

29 to 38° +4.5% -3.6% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +3.5% -4.4%

Jake Rogers has 3 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.24	0.00	0.07	1.17			0.413

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-25	Groundout			15%	85%
2024-06-25	Single		7%	62%	32%
2024-06-25	GIDP			40%	60%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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