Matchup Machine

Jake Rogers

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matchup for Zach Eflin

250th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Zach Eflin

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matchup for Jake Rogers

228th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Moderate advantage for Rogers
3

Model Prediction

Jake Rogers has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 1.1% lower than Rogers's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Eflin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.4%23.3%3.9%6.0%13.5%6.1%25.7%
Rogers-1.1+1.9+0.4+1.0+0.5-3.0-5.5
Eflin0.0+0.1+0.7+0.4-1.0-0.2+6.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Rogers is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rogers has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Jake Rogers has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
33%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
16%
   Slider (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

18.0% of Jake Rogers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.7% 0.0% 5%         Walk -1.3% -4.0% 41%         In Play -4.3% +4.0% 39%         On Base -5.7% -3.7% 31%         Hit -4.4% +0.2% 14%         Single -3.4% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% +0.0% 3%         Home Run +1.7% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years