Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Rogers

matchup for Aaron Nola

135th out of 436 (Best 32%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Jake Rogers

424th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Moderate advantage for Nola

Jake Rogers has a 27.5% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 3.0% lower than Rogers's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.5%	21.1%	3.7%	6.3%	11.1%	6.4%	40.3%
Rogers	-3.0	-0.3	+0.3	+1.3	-1.9	-2.7	+9.2
Nola	-1.9	-1.3	+0.7	+0.1	-2.0	-0.7	+9.5

Jake Rogers is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rogers has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Jake Rogers hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jake Rogers hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Jake Rogers hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

18.0% of Jake Rogers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.7% +6.3% 5%

Walk -1.3% -2.8% 41%

In Play -4.3% -3.5% 39%

On Base -5.7% -4.8% 31%

Hit -4.4% -2.0% 14%

Single -3.4% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -2.7% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.7% -0.5%

29.2% of Jake Rogers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.1% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.2% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -5.8% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.6% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.7% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +2.0% -0.7%

22.7% of Jake Rogers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.8% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.4% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% -0.7%

15.9% of Jake Rogers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.5% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%