Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Randy Arozarena

matchup for Logan Gillaspie

192nd out of 436 (Best 45%)

Logan Gillaspie

matchup for Randy Arozarena

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Arozarena

Randy Arozarena has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 0.8% lower than Arozarena's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Gillaspie.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	23.3%	3.2%	4.3%	15.8%	8.7%	24.2%
Arozarena	-0.8	+3.4	+0.0	-0.2	+3.6	-4.2	-4.6
Gillaspie	+0.4	-1.9	+0.6	-1.2	-1.3	+2.4	+4.9

Randy Arozarena is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arozarena has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Randy Arozarena has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

46%

Slider (R)

24%

Changeup (R)

18%

Curve (R)

14% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Randy Arozarena has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

32% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Randy Arozarena has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+16%

Medium Break 33%

+14%

High Ride 21%

+11%

16.5% of Randy Arozarena's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.2% -9.1% 3%

Walk +4.3% -5.0% 43%

In Play -7.5% +14.2% 39%

On Base -0.6% +11.5% 31%

Hit -4.9% +16.6% 14%

Single -3.4% +8.6% 13%

2B / 3B -3.2% +7.8% 3%

Home Run +1.7% +0.2%

37.4% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Logan Gillaspie induces Standard Grounders at a 30.6% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.0% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.9% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.0% -2.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.6% +4.7% 3%

Pop up +1.2% -1.7%

29.7% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. 31.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% -3.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.3% -4.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -5.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.1% +5.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.4% +7.3%

10.3% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.8% +0.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.8% +0.6% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% -3.2% 18%

7 to 18° -2.0% +0.9% 15%

19 to 28° -1.9% +6.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% -0.1% 7%

39 to 50° -1.5% -2.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.9% -2.7%

Randy Arozarena has 2 plate appearances against Logan Gillaspie in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			1.63	0.06	1.18	0.39			0.816

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-21	Double	5%	66%	4%	25%
2022-05-20	Single		52%	36%	12%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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