matchup for N. Cortes Jr.
matchup for Randy Arozarena
8
Randy Arozarena has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 2.7% higher than Arozarena's typical expectations, and 3.9% higher than batters facing Cortes Jr..
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 35.4% | 20.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 26.0% |
| Arozarena | +2.7 | +0.4 | +0.9 | +1.0 | -1.5 | +2.3 | -2.8 |
| Cortes Jr. | +3.9 | -1.5 | +0.8 | +0.1 | -2.4 | +5.5 | +2.1 |
Randy Arozarena is better vs left-handed pitching. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arozarena has a D grade vs this particular release point.
Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Randy Arozarena has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
45%
Cutter (L)
24%
Slider (L)
20%
Changeup (L)
8%
16.5% of Randy Arozarena's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+3.2%
-0.1%
3%
Walk
+4.3%
-0.6%
43%
In Play
-7.5%
+0.6%
39%
On Base
-0.6%
-2.1%
31%
Hit
-4.9%
-1.6%
14%
Single
-3.4%
-1.7%
13%
2B / 3B
-3.2%
-1.3%
3%
Home Run
+1.7%
+1.5%
Randy Arozarena has 28 plate appearances against Nestor Cortes Jr. in the last 3 years. He is 7 for 25 with 4 home runs, 3 walks
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 28 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0.280 |
| Expected From Contact → | 7.39 | 3.24 | 1.22 | 2.93 | 0.296 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-18 | Flyout | 99% | |||
| 2024-09-18 | Walk | ||||
| 2024-09-18 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-07-20 | Home Run | 94% | 4% | 2% | |
| 2024-07-20 | Single | 2% | 83% | 15% | |
| 2024-07-20 | Groundout | 37% | 10% | 54% | |
| 2024-07-11 | Groundout | 11% | 89% | ||
| 2024-07-11 | Home Run | 67% | 14% | 1% | 18% |
| 2024-07-11 | Groundout | 5% | 95% | ||
| 2024-05-11 | Walk | ||||
| 2024-05-11 | Home Run | 60% | 30% | 10% | |
| 2024-05-11 | Groundout | 10% | 90% | ||
| 2024-04-20 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-04-20 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
| 2024-04-20 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-05-13 | Single | 20% | 17% | 63% | |
| 2023-05-13 | Flyout | 1% | 2% | 96% | |
| 2022-08-16 | Home Run | 99% | |||
| 2022-08-16 | Groundout | 26% | 74% | ||
| 2022-08-16 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
| 2022-06-21 | Single | 86% | 14% | ||
| 2022-06-21 | Flyout | 99% | |||
| 2022-06-15 | Lineout | 7% | 30% | 63% | |
| 2022-06-15 | Walk | ||||
| 2022-06-15 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2022-05-26 | Flyout | 4% | 4% | 92% | |
| 2022-05-26 | Groundout | 10% | 90% | ||
| 2022-05-26 | Flyout | 2% | 1% | 97% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
Edge Painter
Mid Challenge
Strong Challenge
Fringe Miss
Meatball
Chaser
Likely Ball
Non-Competitive
Weak Challenge
Fastball (L)
High Ride
Small Break
Squib/Bunt
Standard Grounder
Hard Grounder
Low Screamer
Rising Liner
Maybe Homer
Likely Homer
No Doubter
Routine Flyout
Pop up
Below 75 mph
75 to 86 mph
87 to 93 mph
94 to 99 mph
Above 100 mph
Below -10°
-10 to 0°
1 to 6°
7 to 18°
19 to 28°
29 to 38°
39 to 50°
Above 50°