Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Randy Arozarena

matchup for Erick Fedde

179th out of 436 (Best 42%)

Erick Fedde

matchup for Randy Arozarena

313th out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Moderate advantage for Arozarena

Randy Arozarena has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Erick Fedde, which is 1.0% lower than Arozarena's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Fedde.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.8%	19.7%	3.0%	4.9%	11.9%	12.0%	23.9%
Arozarena	-1.0	-0.1	-0.3	+0.4	-0.3	-0.9	-4.9
Fedde	-0.4	-3.2	+0.4	-0.4	-3.1	+2.8	+4.6

Randy Arozarena is worse vs right-handed pitching. Erick Fedde is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arozarena has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Erick Fedde throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Randy Arozarena has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

40%

Cutter (R)

25%

Curve (R)

17%

Changeup (R)

Slider (R)

11% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Randy Arozarena has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

30% of Erick Fedde's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Randy Arozarena has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 30%

+16%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

Medium Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Large Break 14%

+9%

16.5% of Randy Arozarena's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Erick Fedde strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.2% -0.7% 3%

Walk +4.3% -1.3% 43%

In Play -7.5% +2.1% 39%

On Base -0.6% +0.7% 31%

Hit -4.9% +2.1% 14%

Single -3.4% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -3.2% +1.3% 3%

Home Run +1.7% 0.0%

37.4% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Erick Fedde induces Standard Grounders at a 36.1% rate, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.0% +1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -1.9% +0.0% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% +0.1% 3%

Likely Homer +1.0% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.6% -2.8% 3%

Pop up +1.2% +2.1%

29.7% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. 27.5% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.3% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -3.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.1% -0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.4% +3.2%

10.3% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 8.6% of batted balls allowed by Erick Fedde are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.8% +2.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.8% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% -1.7% 18%

7 to 18° -2.0% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° -1.9% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% -2.8% 7%

39 to 50° -1.5% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° +0.9% +1.0%

Randy Arozarena has 7 plate appearances against Erick Fedde in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	7	2	0	0	2	1	0	0.286
Expected From Contact →			0.53	0.00	0.03	0.49			0.075

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-06	Groundout			13%	87%
2024-09-06	Single			11%	89%
2024-09-06	Sac Fly				100%
2024-07-27	Strikeout
2024-07-27	Pop Out				100%
2024-07-27	Single			24%	75%
2024-04-28	Flyout		2%		98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe