Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Randy Arozarena

matchup for Domingo German

267th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

Domingo German

matchup for Randy Arozarena

173rd out of 567 (Best 31%)

Strong advantage for Arozarena

Randy Arozarena has a 36.1% chance of reaching base vs Domingo German, which is 3.3% higher than Arozarena's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing German.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.1%	19.2%	3.5%	3.5%	12.2%	16.9%	26.7%
Arozarena	+3.3	-0.7	+0.3	-1.0	0.0	+4.0	-2.1
German	+2.3	-3.8	+0.5	-1.6	-2.8	+6.1	+5.2

Randy Arozarena is worse vs right-handed pitching. Domingo German is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arozarena has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Domingo German throws a Curve 36% of the time. Randy Arozarena has a B grade against right-handed Curves

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Curve (R)

36%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Changeup (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

10% of Domingo German's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Randy Arozarena has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 10%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

31% of Domingo German's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Randy Arozarena has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 31%

+17%

Extreme Break 30%

+15%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

16.5% of Randy Arozarena's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Domingo German strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.2% +2.5% 3%

Walk +4.3% 0.0% 43%

In Play -7.5% -2.5% 39%

On Base -0.6% -3.0% 31%

Hit -4.9% -3.0% 14%

Single -3.4% -1.8% 13%

2B / 3B -3.2% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +1.7% +0.2%

37.4% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Domingo German induces Standard Grounders at a 31.2% rate, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.0% -3.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.9% -0.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% +0.0% 3%

Likely Homer +1.0% +1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.6% 0.0% 3%

Pop up +1.2% +1.6%

29.7% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. 24.0% of batted balls allowed by Domingo German are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.3% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -1.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.1% +1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.4% -0.3%

10.3% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 12.1% of batted balls allowed by Domingo German are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.8% -3.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.8% 0.0% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% +0.3% 18%

7 to 18° -2.0% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° -1.9% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% +0.7% 7%

39 to 50° -1.5% +1.1% 8%

Above 50° +0.9% +3.1%

Randy Arozarena has 15 plate appearances against Domingo German in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 14 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	15	14	1	0	0	1	5	1	0.071
Expected From Contact →			0.85	0.01	0.39	0.45			0.061

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-31	Groundout			7%	93%
2023-07-31	Groundout			3%	97%
2023-05-11	Strikeout
2023-05-11	Walk
2023-05-11	Strikeout
2023-05-06	Pop Out				100%
2023-05-06	Strikeout
2023-05-06	Flyout		37%		61%
2022-09-11	Forceout			10%	90%
2022-09-02	Single			13%	87%
2022-09-02	Groundout			7%	93%
2022-09-02	Forceout			6%	94%
2022-08-17	Strikeout
2022-08-17	Hit By Pitch
2022-08-17	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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