matchup for Kyle Gibson
matchup for Randy Arozarena
9
Randy Arozarena has a 37.8% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Gibson, which is 4.7% higher than Arozarena's typical expectations, and 3.5% higher than batters facing Gibson.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 37.8% | 21.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 22.6% |
| Arozarena | +4.7 | +1.4 | +0.1 | 0.0 | +1.3 | +3.3 | -6.9 |
| Gibson | +3.5 | -1.8 | +0.6 | -0.8 | -1.7 | +5.4 | +3.2 |
Randy Arozarena is worse vs right-handed pitching. Kyle Gibson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Arozarena has a C- grade vs this particular release point.
Kyle Gibson throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Randy Arozarena has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
28%
Slider (R)
19%
Cutter (R)
19%
4-Seam (R)
13%
Changeup (R)
13%
Curve (R)
8%
22% of Kyle Gibson's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Randy Arozarena has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
22%
+3%
Weak Challenge
9%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Meatball
7%
+0%
Non-Competitive
12%
-1%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
Mid Challenge
8%
-3%
25% of Kyle Gibson's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Randy Arozarena has a B- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Velo
25%
+15%
Just Gravity
26%
+12%
16.5% of Randy Arozarena's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Kyle Gibson strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+3.2%
-2.5%
2%
Walk
+4.5%
-0.1%
43%
In Play
-7.7%
+2.6%
39%
On Base
-0.4%
+3.0%
31%
Hit
-4.9%
+3.1%
14%
Single
-3.5%
+1.7%
13%
2B / 3B
-3.3%
+1.9%
3%
Home Run
+1.9%
-0.4%
37.3% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. Kyle Gibson induces Standard Grounders at a 36.9% rate, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.0%
+0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
+2.9%
+2.5%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.0%
+0.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.8%
-0.5%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.4%
+1.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.4%
-0.1%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.9%
-0.3%
1%
No Doubter
-0.5%
-0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-4.6%
-3.2%
3%
Pop up
+1.2%
+0.1%
29.8% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.5% higher than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Gibson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-0.9%
+0.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.3%
+0.9%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-4.1%
-1.8%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-0.3%
-0.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
+5.5%
+0.5%
10.3% of Randy Arozarena's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 9.2% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Gibson are hit at this angle, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+5.9%
+2.7%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.8%
+1.0%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.0%
-0.7%
18%
7 to 18°
-2.0%
+0.6%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.9%
+0.9%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.1%
-2.2%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.6%
-0.7%
8%
Above 50°
+0.9%
-1.5%
Randy Arozarena has 9 plate appearances against Kyle Gibson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with a double and a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.250 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.34 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.79 | 0.168 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-07 | Double | 58% | 42% | ||
| 2024-09-07 | Flyout | 2% | 97% | ||
| 2024-09-07 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-07-20 | GIDP | 3% | 5% | 92% | |
| 2023-07-20 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-07-20 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-05-08 | Walk | ||||
| 2023-05-08 | Groundout | 2% | 98% | ||
| 2023-05-08 | Single | 50% | 13% | 37% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
