Matchup Machine

Brent Rooker

sometext

matchup for Ryan Weathers

350th out of 436 (Worst 20%)

sometext

Ryan Weathers

sometext

matchup for Brent Rooker

396th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Moderate advantage for Rooker
3

Model Prediction

Brent Rooker has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.5% lower than Rooker's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%23.8%3.4%6.5%14.0%7.1%28.4%
Rooker-1.5-0.5-1.2+1.0-0.3-1.0+0.0
Weathers+1.1+2.3+1.3+1.0+0.1-1.2+3.7

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Brent Rooker is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Rooker has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Brent Rooker has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Brent Rooker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% -2.1% 4%         Walk 0.0% -0.6% 41%         In Play -4.3% +2.7% 39%         On Base +3.7% +0.9% 31%         Hit +3.8% +1.5% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +4.2% -0.5%

History

Brent Rooker has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331100000.333
Expected From Contact →1.120.980.020.120.374
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-03Pop Out3%97%
2024-05-03Home Run98%2%
2024-05-03Groundout9%91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.