Matchup Machine

Brent Rooker

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matchup for Matt Festa

362nd out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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Matt Festa

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matchup for Brent Rooker

312th out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Strong advantage for Rooker
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Model Prediction

Brent Rooker has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 0.8% lower than Rooker's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Festa.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%26.1%3.8%7.3%14.9%5.6%28.1%
Rooker-0.8+1.7-0.8+1.8+0.6-2.5-0.3
Festa+0.8+2.7+1.0+1.6+0.2-1.9+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Brent Rooker is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rooker has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. Brent Rooker has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
47%
   4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Brent Rooker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% +2.6% 4%         Walk 0.0% +3.5% 41%         In Play -4.3% -6.1% 39%         On Base +3.7% +0.8% 31%         Hit +3.8% -2.7% 14%         Single -0.4% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +4.2% -0.2%

History

Brent Rooker has 1 plate appearance against Matt Festa in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111010001.000
Expected From Contact →0.540.000.420.120.540
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-25Double42%12%46%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.