Matchup Machine

Brent Rooker

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matchup for Logan Gilbert

355th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Logan Gilbert

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matchup for Brent Rooker

527th out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Strong advantage for Gilbert
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Model Prediction

Brent Rooker has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 7.0% lower than Rooker's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Gilbert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.5%20.5%5.1%4.7%10.7%5.0%43.1%
Rooker-7.0-2.9+0.8-0.8-2.8-4.1+13.4
Gilbert+0.7+1.2+2.2+0.6-1.6-0.5+6.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Brent Rooker is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rooker has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Brent Rooker has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Kn-Curve (R)
9%
   Splitter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of Brent Rooker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% +4.3% 4%         Walk +0.3% -4.1% 41%         In Play -4.6% -0.1% 39%         On Base +3.3% -7.8% 31%         Hit +3.0% -3.7% 14%         Single -0.6% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% -2.0% 3%         Home Run +3.8% +0.5%

History

Brent Rooker has 17 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 16 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual171610101010.063
Expected From Contact →0.380.010.070.300.023
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Strikeout
2025-03-27Strikeout
2025-03-27Strikeout
2024-09-29Flyout99%
2024-09-29Strikeout
2024-09-02Strikeout
2024-09-02Double3%6%91%
2024-09-02Strikeout
2024-06-05Flyout99%
2024-06-05Strikeout
2024-06-05Strikeout
2023-05-25Strikeout
2023-05-25Strikeout
2023-05-25Flyout1%99%
2023-05-03Lineout2%10%88%
2023-05-03Walk
2023-05-03Groundout13%87%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.