Matchup Machine

Brent Rooker

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matchup for Tanner Houck

420th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Brent Rooker

174th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Extreme advantage for Rooker
9

Model Prediction

Brent Rooker has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 1.5% higher than Rooker's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.0%25.0%4.7%5.5%14.8%9.0%21.2%
Rooker+1.5+0.7+0.10.0+0.6+0.9-7.2
Houck+2.2+2.9+2.6+1.1-0.8-0.7+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Brent Rooker is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rooker has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Brent Rooker has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Brent Rooker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% -1.6% 4%         Walk 0.0% +0.2% 41%         In Play -4.3% +1.4% 39%         On Base +3.7% +0.4% 31%         Hit +3.8% +0.3% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +4.2% -0.9%

History

Brent Rooker has 5 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual540000310.000
Expected From Contact →0.090.000.000.090.022
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-11Strikeout
2024-07-11Walk
2024-07-11Forceout9%91%
2024-04-01Strikeout
2024-04-01Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.