Matchup Machine

Brent Rooker

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matchup for Zack Littell

351st out of 436 (Worst 20%)

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Zack Littell

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matchup for Brent Rooker

426th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Rooker
2

Model Prediction

Brent Rooker has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Zack Littell, which is 4.2% lower than Rooker's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Littell.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.3%23.2%4.6%5.4%13.1%5.1%27.8%
Rooker-4.2-1.2+0.0-0.1-1.1-3.0-0.6
Littell+0.9+1.4+1.8+0.1-0.4-0.6+4.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Brent Rooker is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zack Littell is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rooker has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zack Littell throws a Slider 38% of the time. Brent Rooker has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
38%
   4-Seam (R)
37%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Brent Rooker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Zack Littell strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% -0.6% 4%         Walk 0.0% -3.4% 41%         In Play -4.3% +4.0% 39%         On Base +3.7% -1.9% 31%         Hit +3.8% +1.5% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +4.2% +0.6%

History

Brent Rooker has 3 plate appearances against Zack Littell in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.770.650.120.000.257
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-28Strikeout
2024-05-28Flyout65%12%23%
2024-05-28Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.