Matchup Machine

Brent Rooker

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matchup for Ranger Suarez

387th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Ranger Suarez

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matchup for Brent Rooker

185th out of 567 (Best 33%)

Extreme advantage for Rooker
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Model Prediction

Brent Rooker has a 34.9% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 2.5% higher than Rooker's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Suarez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.9%26.5%4.7%6.1%15.7%8.5%28.2%
Rooker+2.5+2.1+0.1+0.6+1.5+0.4-0.2
Suarez+0.9+1.7+2.2+0.4-0.9-0.8+3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Brent Rooker is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Rooker has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Brent Rooker has an A grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Curve (L)
12%
   Cutter (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Brent Rooker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% +0.1% 4%         Walk 0.0% -1.2% 41%         In Play -4.3% +1.1% 39%         On Base +3.7% +1.9% 31%         Hit +3.8% +3.1% 14%         Single -0.4% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% +2.2% 3%         Home Run +4.2% -0.9%

History

Brent Rooker has 3 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001200.333
Expected From Contact →0.740.000.470.280.248
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-12Strikeout
2024-07-12Strikeout
2024-07-12Single47%28%26%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.