Matchup Machine

Brent Rooker

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matchup for Martin Perez

381st out of 436 (Worst 13%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Brent Rooker

123rd out of 567 (Best 23%)

Extreme advantage for Rooker
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Model Prediction

Brent Rooker has a 36.5% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 4.0% higher than Rooker's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.5%27.0%4.0%5.8%17.2%9.5%21.3%
Rooker+4.0+2.6-0.6+0.3+2.9+1.4-7.1
Perez+1.8+1.7+0.9+0.5+0.3+0.2+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Brent Rooker is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rooker has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Brent Rooker has an A grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Brent Rooker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% -6.1% 4%         Walk 0.0% -0.3% 41%         In Play -4.3% +6.4% 39%         On Base +3.7% +5.9% 31%         Hit +3.8% +6.3% 14%         Single -0.4% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +4.2% -0.6%

History

Brent Rooker has 4 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441010100.250
Expected From Contact →1.200.210.910.080.300
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-09Strikeout
2023-05-12Flyout21%6%73%
2023-05-12Flyout100%
2023-05-12Double85%8%7%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.