Matchup Machine

Corey Julks

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matchup for Reid Detmers

100th out of 436 (Best 24%)

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Reid Detmers

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matchup for Corey Julks

307th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Moderate advantage for Detmers
4

Model Prediction

Corey Julks has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Reid Detmers, which is 1.0% higher than Julks's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Detmers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%19.7%2.1%4.6%13.0%10.4%32.8%
Julks+1.0+0.4+0.5+0.1-0.2+0.6+6.6
Detmers-2.0-2.5-1.1-0.4-1.0+0.6+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Corey Julks is worse vs left-handed pitching. Reid Detmers is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Julks doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Reid Detmers throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Corey Julks has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Corey Julks's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Reid Detmers strikes out 19.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.3% +6.4% 4%         Walk -0.5% -0.2% 39%         In Play +0.2% -6.1% 39%         On Base +0.5% -3.3% 31%         Hit +1.1% -3.1% 14%         Single +1.1% -2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% -1.9% 3%         Home Run -1.3% +1.2%

History

Corey Julks has 5 plate appearances against Reid Detmers in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with 2 doubles and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552020100.400
Expected From Contact →1.220.000.760.460.245
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-15Strikeout
2023-07-15Double74%10%16%
2023-07-15Flyout99%
2023-06-01Double2%36%62%
2023-06-01Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.