Matchup Machine

Corey Julks

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matchup for Jake Latz

82nd out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Jake Latz

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matchup for Corey Julks

116th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Leans in favor of Julks
0

Model Prediction

Corey Julks has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 3.0% higher than Julks's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Latz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%18.9%1.7%4.5%12.7%13.1%22.5%
Julks+3.0-0.4+0.10.0-0.5+3.4-3.7
Latz-2.4-1.9-1.0-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Corey Julks is worse vs left-handed pitching. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Julks doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Corey Julks has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
50%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Curve (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Corey Julks's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.3% -1.3% 4%         Walk -0.5% +6.7% 39%         In Play +0.2% -5.5% 39%         On Base +0.5% +1.7% 31%         Hit +1.1% -5.1% 14%         Single +1.1% -3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% -3.0% 3%         Home Run -1.3% +1.4%

History

Corey Julks has 1 plate appearance against Jake Latz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-25Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.