Matchup Machine

Corey Julks

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matchup for Jalen Beeks

62nd out of 436 (Best 15%)

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Jalen Beeks

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matchup for Corey Julks

136th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Leans in favor of Beeks
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Model Prediction

Corey Julks has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 2.0% higher than Julks's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Beeks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%20.6%1.4%4.6%14.6%10.6%19.3%
Julks+2.0+1.2-0.3+0.1+1.4+0.8-6.8
Beeks-2.3-3.6-1.1-0.3-2.1+1.2+1.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Corey Julks is worse vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Julks has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Corey Julks has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Changeup (L)
34%
   Cutter (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Corey Julks's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.3% -2.5% 4%         Walk -0.5% -0.1% 39%         In Play +0.2% +2.6% 39%         On Base +0.5% +0.4% 31%         Hit +1.1% +0.5% 14%         Single +1.1% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -1.3% -1.3%

History

Corey Julks has 2 plate appearances against Jalen Beeks in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.090.000.000.090.044
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-25Groundout2%98%
2023-04-24Groundout7%93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.