Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Corey Julks

matchup for Seth Lugo

33rd out of 436 (Best 8%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Corey Julks

341st out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo

Corey Julks has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.1% higher than Julks's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.0%	20.7%	1.6%	4.3%	14.7%	8.3%	28.3%
Julks	-0.1	+1.4	+0.0	-0.2	+1.5	-1.5	+2.1
Lugo	-3.5	-3.2	-1.5	-0.6	-1.1	-0.3	+3.4

Corey Julks is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Julks has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Corey Julks has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Corey Julks hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Corey Julks hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

14.8% of Corey Julks's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.3% +0.8% 4%

Walk -0.5% -2.3% 39%

In Play +0.2% +1.4% 39%

On Base +0.5% -0.4% 31%

Hit +1.1% +1.9% 14%

Single +1.1% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +1.3% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -1.3% +0.1%

35.2% of Corey Julks's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.2% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.5% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.9% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.0% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -3.0% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +1.1% -2.2%

24.2% of Corey Julks's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.2% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.5% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.3% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.7% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.1% -1.6%

12.0% of Corey Julks's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%