Matchup Machine

Corey Julks

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matchup for Colin Rea

12th out of 436 (Best 4%)

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Colin Rea

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matchup for Corey Julks

101st out of 567 (Best 19%)

Leans in favor of Julks
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Model Prediction

Corey Julks has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Colin Rea, which is 2.2% higher than Julks's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Rea.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.3%23.5%2.0%4.9%16.7%7.8%21.7%
Julks+2.2+4.2+0.3+0.4+3.5-2.0-4.4
Rea-3.1-3.9-1.5-1.5-0.9+0.8+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Corey Julks is better vs right-handed pitching. Colin Rea is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Julks has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Colin Rea throws a Sinker 29% of the time. Corey Julks has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
29%
   Cutter (R)
22%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
8%
   Curve (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.8% of Corey Julks's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Colin Rea strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.3% -3.1% 4%         Walk -0.5% -1.6% 39%         In Play +0.2% +4.8% 39%         On Base +0.5% +0.8% 31%         Hit +1.1% +2.5% 14%         Single +1.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.3% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -1.3% +1.2%

History

Corey Julks has 2 plate appearances against Colin Rea in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.160.000.120.040.080
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-23Strikeout
2023-05-23Groundout12%4%84%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.