Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

matchup for Jared Jones

235th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

Jared Jones

matchup for L. Gurriel Jr.

418th out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Leans in favor of Jones

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.6% lower than Gurriel Jr.'s typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	22.2%	3.1%	4.8%	14.3%	6.9%	23.2%
Gurriel Jr.	-1.6	-2.3	+0.3	-0.6	-2.0	+0.8	+4.5
Jones	-1.9	+1.4	+0.2	-0.2	+1.4	-3.3	-5.3

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gurriel Jr. has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

10.4% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.0% +0.4% 5%

Walk -2.9% +0.6% 36%

In Play +10.0% -1.1% 39%

On Base +4.1% -0.1% 31%

Hit +7.0% -0.8% 14%

Single +3.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +3.4% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.9%

32.9% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.5% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +0.6% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.8% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.2% +2.5%

25.9% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.6% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.1% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.2% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.6% +0.4%

10.1% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%