Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

matchup for Bryce Miller

264th out of 436 (Worst 40%)

Bryce Miller

matchup for L. Gurriel Jr.

506th out of 567 (Worst 11%)

Moderate advantage for Miller

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 2.4% lower than Gurriel Jr.'s typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.2%	22.7%	2.3%	4.2%	16.2%	5.6%	23.9%
Gurriel Jr.	-2.4	-1.8	-0.6	-1.2	-0.1	-0.6	+5.1
Miller	-1.0	+2.2	0.0	-0.2	+2.4	-3.2	-5.9

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gurriel Jr. has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

13%

Splitter (R)

10%

8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 43%

+28%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Small Break 21%

+13%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

10.4% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.0% +0.2% 5%

Walk -2.9% -2.5% 36%

In Play +10.0% +2.3% 39%

On Base +4.1% -3.2% 31%

Hit +7.0% -0.7% 14%

Single +3.0% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +3.4% -0.4% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.5%

32.9% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 30.4% rate, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.5% -4.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +2.0% 14%

Low Screamer +0.6% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.8% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% +5.4% 3%

Pop up -0.2% -0.9%

25.9% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 25.8% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.6% -2.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.1% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.2% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.6% +1.5%

10.1% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%