matchup for Trevor Rogers
matchup for L. Gurriel Jr.
7
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 2.6% higher than Gurriel Jr.'s typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Rogers.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 33.3% | 26.7% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 18.6% | 6.6% | 14.4% |
| Gurriel Jr. | +2.6 | +2.3 | -0.3 | +0.1 | +2.5 | +0.4 | -4.4 |
| Rogers | -0.8 | +2.4 | -0.3 | 0.0 | +2.8 | -3.2 | -5.3 |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Gurriel Jr. has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
48%
Changeup (L)
26%
Slider (L)
18%
Sinker (L)
9%
13% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Chaser
6%
+1%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
-1%
Meatball
4%
-2%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
48% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
48%
+26%
Offspeed (L)
26%
+14%
Fast Velo
20%
+10%
Medium Ride
23%
+9%
10.4% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Strikeout
-7.0%
-0.4%
5%
Walk
-2.9%
+0.3%
36%
In Play
+10.0%
+0.1%
39%
On Base
+4.1%
+0.7%
31%
Hit
+7.0%
+0.4%
14%
Single
+3.0%
+0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
+3.4%
+0.8%
3%
Home Run
+0.6%
-0.8%
33.0% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
-1.4%
-1.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.6%
+2.9%
14%
Low Screamer
+0.6%
-0.2%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.8%
-0.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.5%
+0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.1%
-0.5%
1%
No Doubter
+0.2%
-0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
-0.9%
+0.4%
3%
Pop up
-0.2%
-0.9%
26.0% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.7% higher than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.6%
-1.7%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.4%
-4.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.1%
+1.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+3.3%
-0.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
+1.7%
+4.5%
10.2% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-0.5%
-0.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.3%
+1.2%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.3%
+0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.9%
-0.2%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.6%
+2.8%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.3%
-1.2%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.2%
-1.5%
8%
Above 50°
-1.0%
-1.4%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 3 plate appearances against Trevor Rogers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.58 | 0.39 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.194 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-04-14 | Single | 2% | 10% | 88% | |
| 2023-04-14 | Flyout | 39% | 5% | 56% | |
| 2023-04-14 | Lineout | 1% | 98% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
