Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

matchup for Logan Webb

353rd out of 436 (Worst 19%)

Logan Webb

matchup for L. Gurriel Jr.

165th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Strong advantage for Gurriel Jr.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 3.6% higher than Gurriel Jr.'s typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.3%	28.4%	2.2%	5.3%	20.8%	5.9%	17.8%
Gurriel Jr.	+3.6	+3.9	-0.6	-0.1	+4.6	-0.3	-1.0
Webb	+2.1	+3.6	-0.2	+0.1	+3.7	-1.6	-4.2

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gurriel Jr. has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

10.4% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.0% -0.8% 5%

Walk -2.9% -2.4% 36%

In Play +10.0% +3.2% 39%

On Base +4.1% +1.6% 31%

Hit +7.0% +4.0% 14%

Single +3.0% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +3.4% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -1.3%

32.9% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.5% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +0.6% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.8% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% -7.2% 3%

Pop up -0.2% -1.4%

25.9% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.6% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.1% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.2% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.6% +3.6%

10.1% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.5% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.3% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -0.3% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° +0.9% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +1.6% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° -1.3% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° +0.2% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° -1.0% -5.1%

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 14 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 14 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	14	4	0	1	3	1	0	0.286
Expected From Contact →			3.56	0.06	1.05	2.46			0.255

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-24	Groundout			38%	62%
2024-09-24	Single		2%	11%	87%
2023-09-20	Single			59%	41%
2023-09-20	Forceout		2%	26%	73%
2023-09-20	Strikeout
2023-08-02	Double	6%	82%	10%	2%
2023-08-02	Single		8%	10%	82%
2023-08-02	Groundout			17%	83%
2023-06-23	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-06-23	Groundout			19%	81%
2023-06-23	Groundout			3%	97%
2023-05-14	GIDP			4%	96%
2023-05-14	Groundout			43%	57%
2023-05-14	Lineout		10%	2%	88%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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