Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

matchup for C. Sanchez

378th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Cristopher Sanchez

matchup for L. Gurriel Jr.

406th out of 564 (Worst 28%)

Leans in favor of Gurriel Jr.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Cristopher Sanchez, which is 0.2% higher than Gurriel Jr.'s typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Sanchez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.5%	25.7%	2.1%	4.8%	18.8%	4.8%	20.8%
Gurriel Jr.	-0.2	+1.3	-0.6	-0.8	+2.6	-1.4	+2.0
Sanchez	+2.0	+3.7	-0.1	+0.3	+3.5	-1.7	-5.4

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Cristopher Sanchez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Gurriel Jr. has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Cristopher Sanchez throws a Sinker 49% of the time. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has an A grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

49%

Changeup (L)

32%

Slider (L)

18%

15% of Cristopher Sanchez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 15%

+6%

Chaser 9%

+4%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Mid Challenge 11%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

76% of Cristopher Sanchez's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 61% higher than the MLB average. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 76%

+61%

Medium Drop 33%

+21%

Offspeed (L) 32%

+20%

Slow Velo 27%

+13%

10.4% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Cristopher Sanchez strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.0% -2.7% 5%

Walk -2.9% -2.4% 36%

In Play +10.0% +5.1% 39%

On Base +4.1% +1.4% 31%

Hit +7.0% +3.7% 14%

Single +3.0% +2.2% 13%

2B / 3B +3.4% +2.6% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -1.0%

32.9% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Cristopher Sanchez induces Standard Grounders at a 53.9% rate, which is 19.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.5% +19.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% -4.9% 14%

Low Screamer +0.6% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.8% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% -8.8% 3%

Pop up -0.2% -2.7%

25.9% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 21.0% of batted balls allowed by Cristopher Sanchez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.6% +6.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% -1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.1% +4.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.2% -5.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.6% -3.3%

10.1% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cristopher Sanchez are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.5% +15.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.3% +0.9% 8%

1 to 6° -0.3% -4.1% 18%

7 to 18° +0.9% +0.5% 15%

19 to 28° +1.6% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° -1.3% -3.5% 7%

39 to 50° +0.2% -3.7% 8%

Above 50° -1.0% -4.1%

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 6 plate appearances against Cristopher Sanchez in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	3	0	0	3	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.82	0.00	0.03	1.78			0.303

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-11	Single			43%	57%
2024-08-11	Single		2%	78%	20%
2024-06-23	Single			6%	93%
2024-06-23	GIDP			14%	86%
2024-06-23	Groundout			4%	96%
2023-10-20	Groundout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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