Matchup Machine

Adolis Garcia

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matchup for Chase Silseth

361st out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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Chase Silseth

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matchup for Adolis Garcia

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Garcia
5

Model Prediction

Adolis Garcia has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Chase Silseth, which is 1.8% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Silseth.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%21.6%4.4%4.5%12.7%11.8%33.2%
Garcia+1.8-0.8+0.8-1.2-0.4+2.6+3.9
Silseth+1.2+1.0+1.7+0.5-1.2+0.2+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Adolis Garcia is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Chase Silseth is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Garcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chase Silseth throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Adolis Garcia has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Adolis Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Chase Silseth strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% +5.2% 5%         Walk -0.8% +4.8% 41%         In Play -3.0% -10.0% 39%         On Base -3.5% -0.6% 31%         Hit -2.7% -5.4% 14%         Single -2.7% -3.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% -2.8% 3%         Home Run +2.3% +0.5%

History

Adolis Garcia has 4 plate appearances against Chase Silseth in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 4 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual443012000.750
Expected From Contact →1.500.010.451.040.376
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-07Double1%44%1%53%
2023-05-07Single38%62%
2022-07-30Groundout20%79%
2022-07-30Single45%55%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.