Adolis Garcia has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Chase Silseth, which is 1.8% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Silseth.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 33.4% | 21.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 33.2% |
Garcia | +1.8 | -0.8 | +0.8 | -1.2 | -0.4 | +2.6 | +3.9 |
Silseth | +1.2 | +1.0 | +1.7 | +0.5 | -1.2 | +0.2 | +4.8 |
Adolis Garcia is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Chase Silseth is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Garcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Chase Silseth throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Adolis Garcia has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
16.9% of Adolis Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Chase Silseth strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Adolis Garcia has 4 plate appearances against Chase Silseth in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 4 with a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.45 | 1.04 | 0.376 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-05-07 | Double | 1% | 44% | 1% | 53% |
2023-05-07 | Single | 38% | 62% | ||
2022-07-30 | Groundout | 20% | 79% | ||
2022-07-30 | Single | 45% | 55% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.