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Adolis Garcia

matchup for Dean Kremer

329th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

Dean Kremer

matchup for Adolis Garcia

326th out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Leans in favor of Garcia

Adolis Garcia has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 0.1% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Kremer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.5%	21.6%	3.6%	4.9%	13.1%	9.9%	28.8%
Garcia	-0.1	-0.8	-0.1	-0.8	+0.0	+0.7	-0.6
Kremer	+1.4	+1.1	+0.7	+0.6	-0.2	+0.3	+3.6

Adolis Garcia is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Garcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Adolis Garcia has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Cutter (R)

25%

Curve (R)

12%

Sinker (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

12% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Adolis Garcia has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

74% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Adolis Garcia has a B- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 74%

+20%

16.9% of Adolis Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.8% -0.3% 5%

Walk -0.8% +0.8% 41%

In Play -3.0% -0.4% 39%

On Base -3.5% +1.3% 31%

Hit -2.7% +0.6% 14%

Single -2.7% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B -2.3% +0.1% 3%

Home Run +2.3% +0.8%

31.0% of Adolis Garcia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer induces Standard Grounders at a 31.3% rate, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.4% -3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.2% -1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -4.5% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +4.5% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +3.0% +2.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +2.0% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +1.8%

33.6% of Adolis Garcia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. 24.3% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.7% +0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.9% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.5% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.3% 0.0%

14.8% of Adolis Garcia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.3% +0.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.3% -3.1% 8%

1 to 6° -2.1% -1.0% 18%

7 to 18° -3.0% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° +3.4% -1.9% 7%

39 to 50° -0.5% +2.6% 8%

Above 50° +3.4% +4.0%

Adolis Garcia has 11 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 10 with a home run, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	11	10	3	1	0	2	4	1	0.300
Expected From Contact →			2.62	0.95	0.65	1.02			0.262

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-21	Single		58%	37%	6%
2024-07-21	Flyout				100%
2024-07-21	Groundout			3%	97%
2023-10-10	Single		3%	62%	35%
2023-10-10	Home Run	95%	1%		4%
2023-05-27	Strikeout
2023-05-27	Strikeout
2023-05-27	Walk
2022-07-04	Sac Fly		3%		97%
2022-07-04	Strikeout
2022-07-04	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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