Matchup Machine

Adolis Garcia

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matchup for Logan Allen

407th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Logan Allen

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matchup for Adolis Garcia

38th out of 567 (Best 8%)

Extreme advantage for Garcia
10

Model Prediction

Adolis Garcia has a 37.3% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 5.7% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Allen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.3%28.2%3.8%6.8%17.6%9.1%19.7%
Garcia+5.7+5.8+0.1+1.2+4.5-0.1-9.6
Allen+2.3+2.2+1.0+1.0+0.3+0.0+2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Adolis Garcia is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Garcia has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Adolis Garcia has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Changeup (L)
14%
   Curve (L)
7%
   Cutter (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Adolis Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% -2.6% 5%         Walk -0.8% +1.3% 41%         In Play -3.0% +1.3% 39%         On Base -3.5% +6.7% 31%         Hit -2.7% +5.4% 14%         Single -2.7% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +3.1% 3%         Home Run +2.3% -0.5%

History

Adolis Garcia has 1 plate appearance against Logan Allen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-29Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.