Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Adolis Garcia

matchup for Logan Webb

308th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

Logan Webb

matchup for Adolis Garcia

234th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Garcia

Adolis Garcia has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.1% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.7%	24.8%	3.8%	5.5%	15.5%	6.9%	24.4%
Garcia	+0.1	+2.4	+0.1	-0.2	+2.4	-2.3	-5.0
Webb	-0.5	+0.1	+1.4	+0.3	-1.6	-0.5	+2.4

Adolis Garcia is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Garcia has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Adolis Garcia has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Adolis Garcia has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Adolis Garcia has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

16.9% of Adolis Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.8% -0.8% 5%

Walk -0.8% -2.4% 41%

In Play -3.0% +3.2% 39%

On Base -3.5% +1.6% 31%

Hit -2.7% +4.0% 14%

Single -2.7% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.3% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +2.3% -1.3%

31.0% of Adolis Garcia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.4% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.2% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -4.5% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +4.5% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +3.0% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -7.2% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -1.4%

33.6% of Adolis Garcia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.7% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.9% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.5% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.3% +3.6%

14.8% of Adolis Garcia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.3% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.3% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -2.1% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -3.0% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +3.4% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° -0.5% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +3.4% -5.1%

Adolis Garcia has 7 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 7 with 3 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	7	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.72	0.02	0.03	0.67			0.103

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-07	Strikeout
2024-06-07	Flyout	2%	3%		95%
2024-06-07	Strikeout
2023-08-13	Groundout			60%	40%
2023-08-13	Groundout			6%	94%
2023-08-13	Strikeout
2023-08-13	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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