Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Adolis Garcia

matchup for Jon Gray

256th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

Jon Gray

matchup for Adolis Garcia

149th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Strong advantage for Garcia

Adolis Garcia has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Jon Gray, which is 1.7% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Gray.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.3%	26.7%	2.9%	7.3%	16.5%	6.7%	21.4%
Garcia	+1.7	+4.3	-0.7	+1.7	+3.4	-2.6	-8.0
Gray	+0.3	+0.3	-0.2	+1.6	-1.1	0.0	+4.4

Adolis Garcia is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jon Gray is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Garcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Jon Gray throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Adolis Garcia has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

47%

Slider (R)

38%

Changeup (R)

Curve (R)

11% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Adolis Garcia has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 6%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

41% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Adolis Garcia has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 41%

+17%

Large Break 35%

+14%

Breaking (R) 44%

+14%

Medium Slow Velo 25%

+12%

16.9% of Adolis Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Jon Gray strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.8% +3.8% 5%

Walk -0.8% -1.2% 41%

In Play -3.0% -2.6% 39%

On Base -3.5% -0.6% 31%

Hit -2.7% +0.6% 14%

Single -2.7% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -2.3% +0.4% 3%

Home Run +2.3% -0.6%

31.0% of Adolis Garcia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Jon Gray induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.4% +0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.2% +0.0% 14%

Low Screamer -4.5% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +4.5% -1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +3.0% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +1.0% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +0.4%

33.6% of Adolis Garcia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by Jon Gray are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.7% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.9% -2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.5% +0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +0.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.3% +2.4%

14.8% of Adolis Garcia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. 9.6% of batted balls allowed by Jon Gray are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%