Matchup Machine

Adolis Garcia

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

298th out of 436 (Worst 32%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Adolis Garcia

156th out of 567 (Best 28%)

Strong advantage for Garcia
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Model Prediction

Adolis Garcia has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.0% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.6%22.5%4.1%5.5%12.9%12.1%28.5%
Garcia+3.0+0.1+0.4-0.1-0.2+2.9-0.8
Anderson+0.9+0.2+1.1+0.3-1.3+0.7+6.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Adolis Garcia is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Garcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Adolis Garcia has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Adolis Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% -1.9% 5%         Walk -0.8% -1.0% 41%         In Play -3.0% +2.9% 39%         On Base -3.5% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.7% +0.9% 14%         Single -2.7% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +2.3% -0.2%

History

Adolis Garcia has 11 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 10 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual11100000610.000
Expected From Contact →1.491.010.380.100.149
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-07Strikeout
2024-09-07Strikeout
2024-05-17Lineout3%96%
2024-05-17Flyout38%3%59%
2024-05-17Strikeout
2023-06-12Flyout30%4%66%
2023-06-12Strikeout
2023-06-12Strikeout
2023-05-05Walk
2023-05-05Strikeout
2023-05-05Sac Fly33%30%7%31%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.