Matchup Machine

Edouard Julien

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matchup for Andrew Wantz

123rd out of 436 (Best 29%)

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Andrew Wantz

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matchup for Edouard Julien

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Wantz
2

Model Prediction

Edouard Julien has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.3% higher than Julien's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Wantz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%16.8%3.1%4.3%9.4%15.4%34.8%
Julien+0.3-1.9+0.3+0.0-2.2+2.2+1.6
Wantz+0.3-3.5-0.2-0.1-3.2+3.9+9.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Edouard Julien is better vs right-handed pitching. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Julien has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Edouard Julien has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

20.0% of Edouard Julien's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.1% +7.5% 2%         Walk +5.7% +2.0% 46%         In Play -14.9% -9.5% 39%         On Base -1.5% -6.5% 31%         Hit -7.2% -8.5% 14%         Single -3.7% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B -3.5% -3.9% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.3%

History

Edouard Julien has 2 plate appearances against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.090.010.070.010.045
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-24Flyout1%7%91%
2023-05-20Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.