Matchup Machine

Edouard Julien

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matchup for Elvis Peguero

208th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Elvis Peguero

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matchup for Edouard Julien

135th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Moderate advantage for Julien
4

Model Prediction

Edouard Julien has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Elvis Peguero, which is 3.6% higher than Julien's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Peguero.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.4%20.6%2.5%3.4%14.6%14.8%26.1%
Julien+3.6+1.9-0.2-0.9+3.0+1.6-7.1
Peguero+0.4-3.7+0.7-0.8-3.6+4.1+4.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Edouard Julien is better vs right-handed pitching. Elvis Peguero is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Julien has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Elvis Peguero throws a Slider 52% of the time. Edouard Julien has a D- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
48%

Contact and Outcomes

20.0% of Edouard Julien's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. Elvis Peguero strikes out 12.1% of the batters he faces, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.1% -4.6% 2%         Walk +5.7% +2.1% 46%         In Play -14.9% +2.5% 39%         On Base -1.5% +4.9% 31%         Hit -7.2% +2.7% 14%         Single -3.7% +1.9% 13%         2B / 3B -3.5% +2.3% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -1.4%

History

Edouard Julien has 2 plate appearances against Elvis Peguero in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.070.020.050.000.069
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-21Walk
2024-04-02Flyout2%5%93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.