Matchup Machine

Edouard Julien

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matchup for Tanner Houck

211st out of 436 (Best 49%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Edouard Julien

245th out of 567 (Best 44%)

Leans in favor of Julien
1

Model Prediction

Edouard Julien has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.5% higher than Julien's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%18.8%2.4%3.6%12.8%13.5%24.8%
Julien+0.5+0.2-0.3-0.7+1.1+0.3-8.4
Houck+0.5-3.3+0.3-0.8-2.8+3.8+5.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Edouard Julien is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Julien has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Edouard Julien has a D- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

20.0% of Edouard Julien's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.1% -1.6% 2%         Walk +5.7% +0.2% 46%         In Play -14.9% +1.4% 39%         On Base -1.5% +0.4% 31%         Hit -7.2% +0.3% 14%         Single -3.7% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -3.5% +0.7% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.9%

History

Edouard Julien has 6 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual651001210.200
Expected From Contact →0.250.000.000.250.050
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-03Walk
2024-05-03Single20%80%
2024-05-03Groundout2%98%
2023-04-20Forceout3%97%
2023-04-20Strikeout
2023-04-20Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.