Matchup Machine

Edouard Julien

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matchup for Tyler Glasnow

253rd out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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Tyler Glasnow

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matchup for Edouard Julien

511st out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Strong advantage for Glasnow
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Model Prediction

Edouard Julien has a 26.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Glasnow, which is 5.8% lower than Julien's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Glasnow.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.0%16.1%2.9%3.8%9.3%9.9%38.6%
Julien-5.8-2.5+0.2-0.4-2.3-3.3+5.4
Glasnow+1.3-1.7+0.8-0.5-2.0+3.0+7.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Edouard Julien is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Glasnow is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Julien has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Glasnow throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Edouard Julien has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Curve (R)
22%
   Slider (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

20.0% of Edouard Julien's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. Tyler Glasnow strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 11.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.1% +11.0% 2%         Walk +5.7% -0.8% 46%         In Play -14.9% -10.2% 39%         On Base -1.5% -6.6% 31%         Hit -7.2% -5.8% 14%         Single -3.7% -2.3% 13%         2B / 3B -3.5% -2.6% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -1.0%

History

Edouard Julien has 6 plate appearances against Tyler Glasnow in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual651001310.200
Expected From Contact →0.360.000.010.350.073
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-09Strikeout
2024-04-09Groundout5%95%
2024-04-09Strikeout
2023-09-11Strikeout
2023-09-11Single31%69%
2023-09-11Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.