Matchup Machine

Edouard Julien

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

143rd out of 436 (Best 34%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Edouard Julien

31st out of 567 (Best 6%)

Strong advantage for Julien
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Model Prediction

Edouard Julien has a 38.6% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 6.7% higher than Julien's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.6%25.0%2.7%4.7%17.6%13.6%25.6%
Julien+6.7+6.40.0+0.4+6.0+0.4-7.6
Stroman+0.9-3.90.0-1.2-2.7+4.8+7.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Edouard Julien is better vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Julien has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Edouard Julien has a C+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

20.0% of Edouard Julien's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.1% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.1% -3.1% 2%         Walk +5.7% -0.8% 46%         In Play -14.9% +3.9% 39%         On Base -1.5% +3.0% 31%         Hit -7.2% +3.8% 14%         Single -3.7% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -3.5% +2.4% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -1.1%

History

Edouard Julien has 3 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010000.333
Expected From Contact →0.950.000.300.660.318
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-15Groundout4%96%
2024-05-15Double12%45%43%
2024-05-15Lineout18%16%66%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.