Matchup Machine

Bo Naylor

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matchup for Roki Sasaki

114th out of 436 (Best 27%)

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Roki Sasaki

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matchup for Bo Naylor

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Naylor
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Model Prediction

Bo Naylor has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 5.6% higher than Naylor's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Sasaki.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.1%19.0%3.4%5.7%10.0%16.1%28.5%
Naylor+5.6-1.3+0.1+0.9-2.4+6.9-0.8
Sasaki-2.0-3.7+0.3-0.5-3.4+1.7+5.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Bo Naylor is worse vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Naylor has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Bo Naylor has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
60%
   Splitter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

17.4% of Bo Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.7% -4.7% 5%         Walk -0.6% +27.6% 41%         In Play -4.0% -23.0% 39%         On Base -6.1% +14.9% 31%         Hit -5.5% -12.8% 14%         Single -3.3% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.8% -6.7% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -3.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years