Matchup Machine

      Bo Naylor

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      matchup for Taj Bradley

      187th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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      Taj Bradley

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      matchup for Bo Naylor

      328th out of 564 (Worst 42%)

      Leans in favor of Bradley
      2

      Model Prediction

      Bo Naylor has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.4% higher than Naylor's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Bradley.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Bo Naylor is worse vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Naylor has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Bo Naylor has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      44%
         Cutter (R)
      24%
         Splitter (R)
      15%
         Curve (R)
      12%
         Changeup (R)
      5%

      Contact and Outcomes

      17.4% of Bo Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.7% +3.2% 5%         Walk -0.6% +0.4% 41%         In Play -4.0% -3.5% 39%         On Base -6.1% -1.3% 31%         Hit -5.5% -1.6% 14%         Single -3.3% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.8% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.6% +1.2%

      History

      Bo Naylor has 2 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual210000010.000
      Expected From Contact →0.010.000.000.010.011
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-09-15Walk
      2024-09-15Groundout99%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.