Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Bo Naylor

matchup for Cole Ragans

130th out of 436 (Best 31%)

Cole Ragans

matchup for Bo Naylor

450th out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Strong advantage for Ragans

Bo Naylor has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Cole Ragans, which is 0.8% lower than Naylor's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Ragans.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.3%	15.8%	2.6%	4.2%	9.0%	12.6%	37.7%
Naylor	-0.8	-4.0	-0.5	-0.7	-2.8	+3.2	+7.4
Ragans	-2.0	-2.2	+0.0	-0.3	-2.0	+0.1	+6.0

Bo Naylor is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Cole Ragans is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Naylor has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Ragans throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Bo Naylor hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

42%

Changeup (L)

24%

Cutter (L)

13%

Slider (L)

10%

21% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Bo Naylor has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Bo Naylor has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

Offspeed (L) 24%

+12%

Very Fast Velo 14%

+11%

High Ride 20%

+10%

17.4% of Bo Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Cole Ragans strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.7% +4.4% 4%

Walk -0.4% +1.2% 41%

In Play -4.3% -5.6% 39%

On Base -5.7% -1.8% 31%

Hit -5.2% -3.0% 14%

Single -3.0% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.8% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -0.3%

25.0% of Bo Naylor's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.4% lower than the league average. Cole Ragans induces Standard Grounders at a 30.5% rate, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +1.9% 34%

Standard Grounder -9.4% -3.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.3% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -0.1% +1.7% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% +2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.0% -2.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.7% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.8% -2.2% 3%

Pop up +5.4% +1.4%

19.0% of Bo Naylor's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. 18.7% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.4% +3.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.8% -0.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +7.9% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.1% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.3% -5.6%

9.5% of Bo Naylor's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -7.9% +3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.2% -4.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.1% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -1.5% +3.0% 15%

19 to 28° -1.9% -5.3% 11%

29 to 38° -2.0% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° +3.1% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° +11.3% +1.6%

Bo Naylor has 4 plate appearances against Cole Ragans in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Pop Out
2025-03-27	Flyout
2024-06-29	Pop Out				100%
2024-06-29	Groundout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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