Matchup Machine

Bo Naylor

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

218th out of 436 (Best 51%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Bo Naylor

269th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Leans in favor of Schmidt
1

Model Prediction

Bo Naylor has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.5% higher than Naylor's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%18.5%3.0%4.2%11.3%12.5%27.5%
Naylor+1.5-1.8-0.2-0.5-1.0+3.3-1.7
Schmidt-0.9-1.0+0.6+0.2-1.8+0.1+2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Bo Naylor is worse vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Naylor has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Bo Naylor has an F grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

17.4% of Bo Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.7% +0.3% 5%         Walk -0.6% +1.6% 41%         In Play -4.0% -1.9% 39%         On Base -6.1% -0.3% 31%         Hit -5.5% -2.0% 14%         Single -3.3% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.8% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.6% 0.0%

History

Bo Naylor has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual200000020.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-13Walk
2024-04-13Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.