Matchup Machine

Bo Naylor

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matchup for Aaron Nola

84th out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Bo Naylor

461st out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Strong advantage for Nola
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Model Prediction

Bo Naylor has a 26.2% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 3.3% lower than Naylor's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.2%19.7%3.7%5.2%10.9%6.5%38.0%
Naylor-3.3-0.7+0.4+0.4-1.5-2.7+8.8
Nola-3.2-2.7+0.7-1.1-2.3-0.6+7.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Bo Naylor is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Naylor has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Bo Naylor hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

17.4% of Bo Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.7% +6.3% 5%         Walk -0.6% -2.8% 41%         In Play -4.0% -3.5% 39%         On Base -6.1% -4.8% 31%         Hit -5.5% -2.0% 14%         Single -3.3% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -2.8% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years