Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dylan Carlson

matchup for Ryan Johnson

126th out of 436 (Best 30%)

Ryan Johnson

matchup for Dylan Carlson

out of 564 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Carlson

Dylan Carlson has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Johnson, which is 3.4% higher than Carlson's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Johnson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.6%	21.6%	2.1%	5.8%	13.8%	13.0%	23.8%
Carlson	+3.4	+1.8	+0.1	+1.4	+0.4	+1.6	-4.9
Johnson	+0.3	-2.4	-0.9	-0.6	-1.0	+2.7	+3.5

Dylan Carlson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryan Johnson is right handed .

Ryan Johnson throws a Cutter 50% of the time. Dylan Carlson has an F grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

50%

Sinker (R)

28%

Changeup (R)

11%

Slider (R)

4-Seam (R)

22% of Ryan Johnson's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 22%

+5%

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+2%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Meatball 6%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Fringe Miss 2%

-11%

83% of Ryan Johnson's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has a D+ grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 83%

+30%

Just Gravity 41%

+27%

Medium Slow Velo 31%

+18%

Medium Break 26%

+17%

15.6% of Dylan Carlson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Ryan Johnson strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 10.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.8% -10.0% 4%

Walk +1.7% -0.7% 41%

In Play -3.5% +10.8% 39%

On Base -0.4% 0.0% 31%

Hit -2.2% +0.7% 14%

Single -0.8% -5.2% 13%

2B / 3B -0.2% -4.8% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +10.7%

30.4% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Ryan Johnson induces Standard Grounders at a 24.8% rate, which is 9.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.9% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.0% -9.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.0% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +3.0% +2.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -9.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% +13.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +15.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.7% -20.1% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +21.4%

13.3% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.0% lower than the league average. 33.3% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Johnson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 9.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% +0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.1% +20.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.7% -10.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% -19.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.0% +9.0%

13.6% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 50.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Johnson are hit at this angle, which is 39.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%