Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dylan Carlson

matchup for Brandon Pfaadt

24th out of 436 (Best 6%)

Brandon Pfaadt

matchup for Dylan Carlson

405th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Strong advantage for Pfaadt

Dylan Carlson has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Pfaadt, which is 0.7% lower than Carlson's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Pfaadt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.3%	20.7%	2.1%	4.1%	14.4%	8.7%	35.5%
Carlson	-0.7	+0.8	+0.2	-0.5	+1.1	-1.5	+6.1
Pfaadt	-3.1	-3.9	-1.0	-1.1	-1.7	+0.7	+6.4

Dylan Carlson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brandon Pfaadt is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Carlson has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Brandon Pfaadt throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Dylan Carlson has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

19% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 29%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Large Break 15%

+10%

15.6% of Dylan Carlson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.6% +1.2% 4%

Walk +1.4% -2.4% 41%

In Play -3.0% +1.2% 39%

On Base -0.4% -0.1% 31%

Hit -1.9% +2.4% 14%

Single -0.7% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% +0.9% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +1.0%

30.5% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt induces Standard Grounders at a 32.0% rate, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.9% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.9% -2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.1% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +3.1% +2.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% +0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.6% +0.9% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -1.0%

13.2% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.1% -5.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.7% +5.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% -4.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.1% +4.8%

13.6% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at this angle, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%