Matchup Machine

Dylan Carlson

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matchup for Andrew Wantz

46th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Andrew Wantz

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matchup for Dylan Carlson

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Wantz
4

Model Prediction

Dylan Carlson has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.1% higher than Carlson's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Wantz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%18.2%2.4%3.7%12.0%12.0%30.8%
Carlson+0.1-1.7+0.4-0.9-1.2+1.8+1.4
Wantz-1.7-2.1-0.9-0.7-0.6+0.5+6.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Dylan Carlson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Carlson has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Dylan Carlson has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.6% of Dylan Carlson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.6% +7.5% 4%         Walk +1.4% +2.0% 41%         In Play -3.0% -9.5% 39%         On Base -0.4% -6.5% 31%         Hit -1.9% -8.5% 14%         Single -0.7% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% -3.9% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years