matchup for Trevor Rogers
matchup for Dylan Carlson
4
Dylan Carlson has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 2.7% higher than Carlson's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Rogers.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 33.9% | 22.3% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 25.2% |
| Carlson | +2.7 | +2.5 | +0.3 | +0.7 | +1.5 | +0.2 | -3.5 |
| Rogers | -0.1 | -2.0 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -1.0 | +1.8 | +5.6 |
Dylan Carlson is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Carlson has a D- grade vs this particular release point.
Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Dylan Carlson has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
48%
Changeup (L)
26%
Slider (L)
18%
Sinker (L)
9%
13% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Chaser
6%
+1%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
-1%
Meatball
4%
-2%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
48% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has a C- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
48%
+26%
Offspeed (L)
26%
+14%
Fast Velo
20%
+10%
Medium Ride
23%
+9%
15.6% of Dylan Carlson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+1.8%
-0.4%
4%
Walk
+1.7%
+0.3%
41%
In Play
-3.5%
+0.1%
39%
On Base
-0.4%
+0.7%
31%
Hit
-2.2%
+0.4%
14%
Single
-0.8%
+0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.2%
+0.8%
3%
Home Run
-1.2%
-0.8%
30.4% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.9%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
-4.0%
-1.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
-3.0%
+2.9%
14%
Low Screamer
+3.0%
-0.2%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.5%
-0.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.2%
+0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.7%
-0.5%
1%
No Doubter
-0.7%
-0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
+5.7%
+0.4%
3%
Pop up
+0.6%
-0.9%
13.3% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.0% lower than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.0%
-1.7%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+4.1%
-4.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+3.7%
+1.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+4.2%
-0.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
-11.0%
+4.5%
13.6% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-0.9%
-0.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.5%
+1.2%
8%
1 to 6°
-3.5%
+0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.4%
-0.2%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.1%
+2.8%
11%
29 to 38°
+2.2%
-1.2%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.1%
-1.5%
8%
Above 50°
+3.1%
-1.4%
No History in the last 3 years
