Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dylan Carlson

matchup for Alex Speas

43rd out of 436 (Best 11%)

Alex Speas

matchup for Dylan Carlson

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Speas

Dylan Carlson has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 0.9% higher than Carlson's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.9%	18.1%	1.7%	4.7%	11.7%	12.9%	29.6%
Carlson	+0.9	-1.8	-0.3	+0.1	-1.6	+2.7	+0.3
Speas	-3.0	-3.1	-0.9	-0.4	-1.8	+0.0	+5.2

Dylan Carlson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Carlson has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Dylan Carlson has an F grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has a D+ grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

15.6% of Dylan Carlson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.6% +19.9% 4%

Walk +1.4% -0.6% 41%

In Play -3.0% -19.3% 39%

On Base -0.4% -8.2% 31%

Hit -1.9% -7.6% 14%

Single -0.7% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% -5.2% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +3.3%

30.5% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.9% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.9% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.1% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +3.1% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.6% -7.4% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +8.5%

13.2% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.1% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.7% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.1% -10.5%

13.6% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%