matchup for P. Sandoval
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Dylan Carlson has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 2.1% higher than Carlson's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Sandoval.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 33.3% | 20.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 27.1% |
| Carlson | +2.1 | +0.7 | -0.1 | -0.5 | +1.3 | +1.4 | -1.6 |
| Sandoval | +1.4 | -2.0 | -0.7 | -0.8 | -0.6 | +3.4 | +3.4 |
Dylan Carlson is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carlson has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Dylan Carlson has a B grade against left-handed Changeups
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Changeup (L)
27%
4-Seam (L)
26%
Slider (L)
25%
Sinker (L)
12%
Curve (L)
9%
10% of Patrick Sandoval's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
10%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+1%
Chaser
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Meatball
5%
0%
Strong Challenge
5%
-1%
Mid Challenge
10%
-2%
27% of Patrick Sandoval's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has a B grade against this type of pitch from left handers.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Offspeed (L)
27%
+14%
Medium Break
20%
+11%
Slow Velo
23%
+10%
Low Ride
32%
+9%
15.6% of Dylan Carlson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+1.8%
+3.4%
4%
Walk
+1.7%
0.0%
41%
In Play
-3.5%
-3.4%
39%
On Base
-0.4%
-0.2%
31%
Hit
-2.2%
-0.2%
14%
Single
-0.8%
+0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.2%
+0.7%
3%
Home Run
-1.2%
-1.4%
30.4% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Patrick Sandoval induces Standard Grounders at a 39.9% rate, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.9%
+0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
-4.0%
+5.5%
7%
Hard Grounder
-3.0%
-1.2%
14%
Low Screamer
+3.0%
+2.3%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.5%
-2.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.2%
-1.1%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.7%
0.0%
1%
No Doubter
-0.7%
-0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
+5.7%
-3.3%
3%
Pop up
+0.6%
+0.4%
13.3% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.0% lower than the league average. 21.1% of batted balls allowed by Patrick Sandoval are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.0%
+6.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+4.1%
+1.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+3.7%
-3.8%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+4.2%
-0.7%
24%
Above 100 mph
-11.0%
-3.2%
13.6% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Patrick Sandoval are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-0.9%
+0.8%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.5%
+1.2%
8%
1 to 6°
-3.5%
+0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.4%
+1.6%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.1%
+1.2%
11%
29 to 38°
+2.2%
-2.0%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.1%
-1.5%
8%
Above 50°
+3.1%
-1.8%
Dylan Carlson has 2 plate appearances against Patrick Sandoval in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.78 | 0.48 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.389 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-05-02 | Pop Out | 99% | |||
| 2023-05-02 | Flyout | 48% | 28% | 2% | 23% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
