Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dylan Carlson

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

136th out of 436 (Best 32%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for Dylan Carlson

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Carlson

Dylan Carlson has a 34.9% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 4.8% higher than Carlson's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.9%	22.6%	2.3%	6.2%	14.1%	12.3%	26.1%
Carlson	+4.8	+2.7	+0.4	+1.6	+0.8	+2.1	-3.3
Rodriguez	-0.4	-2.0	-0.7	+0.3	-1.6	+1.7	+4.5

Dylan Carlson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Dylan Carlson has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

15.6% of Dylan Carlson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.6% +6.5% 4%

Walk +1.4% +4.1% 41%

In Play -3.0% -10.5% 39%

On Base -0.4% +8.4% 31%

Hit -1.9% +4.3% 14%

Single -0.7% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% +0.5% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +3.7%

30.5% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.9% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.9% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.1% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer +3.1% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.6% +0.7% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +0.9%

13.2% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.1% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.7% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.1% +10.4%

13.6% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%