Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Dylan Carlson

matchup for Tyler Duffey

46th out of 436 (Best 11%)

Tyler Duffey

matchup for Dylan Carlson

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Duffey

Dylan Carlson has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 1.9% higher than Carlson's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Duffey.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.9%	19.9%	1.8%	4.7%	13.4%	12.0%	31.0%
Carlson	+1.9	+0.1	-0.1	+0.1	+0.1	+1.8	+1.7
Duffey	-2.2	-2.7	-0.8	-0.5	-1.4	+0.6	+6.3

Dylan Carlson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Carlson has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Dylan Carlson hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

42%

4-Seam (R)

40%

Sinker (R)

14%

23% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

28% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Dylan Carlson has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 28%

+23%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+14%

Breaking (R) 42%

+12%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

15.6% of Dylan Carlson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.6% +3.7% 4%

Walk +1.4% -2.4% 41%

In Play -3.0% -1.3% 39%

On Base -0.4% -5.5% 31%

Hit -1.9% -3.1% 14%

Single -0.7% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% -1.3% 3%

Home Run -1.2% -0.5%

30.5% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.9% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey induces Standard Grounders at a 31.8% rate, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.9% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.9% -2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.1% +3.2% 14%

Low Screamer +3.1% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% +1.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% -1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +5.6% +0.1% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -0.5%

13.2% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.0% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.1% -3.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.7% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.1% +2.8%

13.6% of Dylan Carlson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%